{"id":4724,"date":"2019-01-15T22:52:58","date_gmt":"2019-01-15T22:52:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4724"},"modified":"2020-01-07T00:07:09","modified_gmt":"2020-01-07T00:07:09","slug":"trent-aegir-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4724","title":{"rendered":"Trent Aegir 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4922\">Predictions for 2020 are here<\/a><br> <a href=\"https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4922\">https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4922<\/a> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-color has-background has-very-dark-gray-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color\"><strong>NOTE! I have updated my predictions based on Today&#8217;s Aegir and a review of my approach &#8211; Please ignore previous versions of this table.&nbsp;Thursday 24th January&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Trent Aegir, also known as the <g class=\"gr_ gr_7 gr-alert gr_spell gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim ContextualSpelling ins-del\" id=\"7\" data-gr-id=\"7\">Eagre<\/g>, is a tidal bore on the River Trent. At certain times of the year, it is possible to see a bore of up to five feet high. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Aegir occurs when a high spring tide meets the downstream flow of the river forcing it back and causing a wave to flow upstream. Typically it is possible to see the bore from Derrythorpe to as far up the river as Gainsborough. Beyond <g class=\"gr_ gr_21 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Punctuation only-ins replaceWithoutSep\" id=\"21\" data-gr-id=\"21\">Gainsborough<\/g> the bore is reduced to a ripple<g class=\"gr_ gr_38 gr-alert gr_gramm gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim Punctuation multiReplace\" id=\"38\" data-gr-id=\"38\">.<\/g><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The best places to see the Aegir are at Gainsborough, Morton, East Stockwith, West Stockwith and Owston Ferry. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Environment Agency used to publish predictions for the bore but no longer do. I have therefore tried to make predictions for the bore myself using tidal tables <g class=\"gr_ gr_6 gr-alert gr_spell gr_inline_cards gr_run_anim ContextualSpelling ins-del\" id=\"6\" data-gr-id=\"6\">fro<\/g> the UK Hydrographic Office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have used the tidal range at the Humber Bridge to determine the likelihood of a good bore &#8211; the larger the tidal range the more likely there will be a good bore on the River Trent. I have then determined timings using a time difference from the predicted high tide. The highest tides are around the spring and autumn equinoxes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The appearance of a bore can be affected by various other factors that may enhance or detract from the size of the bore;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>excessive flood water flowing down the river will reduce the size of the bore<\/li><li>too little water flowing down the river will also reduce the size of the Aegir<\/li><li>depending on the wind direction winds may enhance or detract from the size of the Aegir<\/li><li>lighting may also affect how the Aegir is perceived &#8211; in my experience, it looks best when the sun is behind the river<\/li><li>depending on the weather conditions the Aegir can be up to 30 minutes earlier than predicted.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-size:0\" class=\"has-text-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong>To help me improve my predictions I should be grateful if you could email me (angus@townley.com) with details of actual times and appearances of the Aegir. Don&#8217;t forget to say where you were. Many thanks.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also please feel free to share photos and reports of the aegir below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Depending on the weather conditions the Aegir can be up to 30 minutes earlier than predicted.<\/strong>  Be early to increase your chances of seeing it. \n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<table width=\"445\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\">Day<\/td>\n<td width=\"68\">Date<\/td>\n<td width=\"58\">Owston Ferry<\/td>\n<td width=\"64\">Stockwith<\/td>\n<td width=\"64\">Gainsborough<\/td>\n<td width=\"64\">Tidal Range at Humber Bridge<\/td>\n<td width=\"64\">Prospect<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sep 2019<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01<\/td>\n<td>Sun<\/td>\n<td>07:50<\/td>\n<td>08:15<\/td>\n<td>08:35<\/td>\n<td>7.57<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01<\/td>\n<td>Sun<\/td>\n<td>20:29<\/td>\n<td>20:54<\/td>\n<td>21:14<\/td>\n<td>7.85<\/td>\n<td>****<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>08:34<\/td>\n<td>08:59<\/td>\n<td>09:19<\/td>\n<td>7.72<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>21:11<\/td>\n<td>21:36<\/td>\n<td>21:56<\/td>\n<td>7.73<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>03<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>09:18<\/td>\n<td>09:43<\/td>\n<td>10:03<\/td>\n<td>7.53<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>03<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>21:53<\/td>\n<td>22:18<\/td>\n<td>22:38<\/td>\n<td>7.26<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<td>Sat<\/td>\n<td>18:39<\/td>\n<td>19:04<\/td>\n<td>19:24<\/td>\n<td>7.44<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>Sun<\/td>\n<td>06:44<\/td>\n<td>07:09<\/td>\n<td>07:29<\/td>\n<td>7.35<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>Sun<\/td>\n<td>19:22<\/td>\n<td>19:47<\/td>\n<td>20:07<\/td>\n<td>7.86<\/td>\n<td>****<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>07:28<\/td>\n<td>07:53<\/td>\n<td>08:13<\/td>\n<td>7.74<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>20:03<\/td>\n<td>20:28<\/td>\n<td>20:48<\/td>\n<td>7.95<\/td>\n<td>****<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Oct 2019<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>08:11<\/td>\n<td>08:36<\/td>\n<td>08:56<\/td>\n<td>7.82<\/td>\n<td>****<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>01<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>20:43<\/td>\n<td>21:08<\/td>\n<td>21:28<\/td>\n<td>7.70<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>08:54<\/td>\n<td>09:19<\/td>\n<td>09:39<\/td>\n<td>7.53<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>02<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>21:22<\/td>\n<td>21:47<\/td>\n<td>22:07<\/td>\n<td>7.13<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>03<\/td>\n<td>Thu<\/td>\n<td>21:22<\/td>\n<td>21:47<\/td>\n<td>22:07<\/td>\n<td>7.13<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27<\/td>\n<td>Sun<\/td>\n<td>17:14<\/td>\n<td>17:39<\/td>\n<td>17:59<\/td>\n<td>7.47<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>05:21<\/td>\n<td>05:46<\/td>\n<td>06:06<\/td>\n<td>7.32<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>17:56<\/td>\n<td>18:21<\/td>\n<td>18:41<\/td>\n<td>7.76<\/td>\n<td>****<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>06:06<\/td>\n<td>06:31<\/td>\n<td>06:51<\/td>\n<td>7.61<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>29<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>18:36<\/td>\n<td>19:01<\/td>\n<td>19:21<\/td>\n<td>7.72<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>06:50<\/td>\n<td>07:15<\/td>\n<td>07:35<\/td>\n<td>7.57<\/td>\n<td>***<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>19:15<\/td>\n<td>19:40<\/td>\n<td>20:00<\/td>\n<td>7.39<\/td>\n<td>**<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>31<\/td>\n<td>Thu<\/td>\n<td>07:33<\/td>\n<td>07:58<\/td>\n<td>08:18<\/td>\n<td>7.20<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Nov 2019<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25<\/td>\n<td>Mon<\/td>\n<td>16:49<\/td>\n<td>17:14<\/td>\n<td>17:34<\/td>\n<td>7.02<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>26<\/td>\n<td>Tue<\/td>\n<td>17:32<\/td>\n<td>17:57<\/td>\n<td>18:17<\/td>\n<td>7.22<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>05:48<\/td>\n<td>06:13<\/td>\n<td>06:33<\/td>\n<td>7.08<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>27<\/td>\n<td>Wed<\/td>\n<td>18:51<\/td>\n<td>19:16<\/td>\n<td>19:36<\/td>\n<td>7.17<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<td>Thu<\/td>\n<td>06:33<\/td>\n<td>06:58<\/td>\n<td>07:18<\/td>\n<td>7.00<\/td>\n<td>*<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predictions for 2020 are here https:\/\/crowle.org\/?p=4922 NOTE! I have updated my predictions based on Today&#8217;s Aegir and a review of my approach &#8211; Please ignore previous versions of this table.&nbsp;Thursday 24th January&nbsp; The Trent Aegir, also known as the Eagre, is a tidal bore on the River Trent. At certain times of the year, it [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4784,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[52],"tags":[49,51],"class_list":["post-4724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-river-trent","tag-bore","tag-eagre"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Aegir.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4724"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4939,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4724\/revisions\/4939"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crowle.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}